Ride Colts, Vikings to the Super Bowl

Are you a sports betting player waiting to make your Super Bowl picks? The NFL season is coming to a close and teams are jockeying for playoff position, which means it’s time to start thinking about your picks for the The Big Game. Here’s who we think will be in Miami on February 7th.

AFC – Indianapolis (+120)

Pittsburgh and New England have looked like a shadow of their former selves, and San Diego can’t be trusted until they have success in the playoffs. Therefore, you have to go with the tried and true, and that’s what Peyton Manning and the Colts are. The defense has gone through some injuries and their secondary is young, but with Manning at the helm, the Colts are never out of any game. Just ask Miami and the Patriots.

NFC – Minnesota (+110)

With all due respect to New Orleans, we’re giving the edge to the Vikings based on experience, notably, at quarterback. Drew Brees did well to lead the team to the NFC title game in 2006 before they were blown out by Philadelphia. Brett Favre has led a team to a Super Bowl win and looks as confident as he ever has, and he’s surrounded with a disgusting array of weapons, as is New Orleans. This NFC championship game needs to happen. Minnesota also gets an edge via their defense, which leads the league in sacks.

Super Bowl

The season is destined to end with a Minnesota Super Bowl win, especially after the Favre saga of the offseason. The Minnesota defense can get to Manning, while Favre could carve up the young Indy secondary. The Colts won’t be able to run on the Vikings, who can also batter the Colts’ defense with Adrian Peterson.

NFL picks: Minnesota +350

 

Bet365/Bowmans

When it comes to online sports betting, there are few sportsbooks that are better for live Bet365 is as good as it gets.

Overall, Bet365 is a top-notch sportsbook. We wouldn’t to mislead you into thinking that they are just a one-trick pony. Bet365 has plenty to offer; it’s just that their live-betting product is particularly good.

Live betting at Bet365 is as developed a product as you can find on the internet. For any given event – or at least the ones that they offer – they give you up to 50 different things you can bet on for the game.

It’s really worth visiting their site to test drive it yourself just to see how fantastic a product it is.

Beyond that, Bet365 leads the industry in customer service and they are really top notch. Beyond that, they are a British book that is a public company in the UK, which means they are very reliable and reputable.

It’s hard to find many faults with Bet365 other than the fact that their lines are a little soft. They have regular industry juice and sometimes they jack it up a little bit to increase their profit. To be honest, every sportsbook does that once in a while, though.

Beyond that, Bet365’s website, product and customer service is tough to beat. It is a well-recommended book.

 

How to deal with the over/under

When doing NFL betting, a lot of people tend to focus on either the moneyline, or the spread. But totals can be a lucrative racket if you know how to do it right, and here’s some tips for the average player who is just getting into betting online.

1) Who is playing?

Let’s take last week’s game between Detroit and New Orleans. The Saints were at home with one of the craziest offenses in the league, and they were facing the Lions, who are arguably the worst defensive team in the entire world. It didn’t really matter what the total was, you just knew that the Saints were going wild, and they have a defense that isn’t the strongest, which means picking the over was a no-brainer.

Past history

Again, let’s stick with Lions-Saints. The two met last year, in Detroit, and the Saints blasted the Lions 42-7. That was in Week 16, and there isn’t much difference between the teams, other than the Lions got younger and the Saints got healthy. Again, it was always easy to see that the Saints were in line for a romp.

Weather

Dome teams like Indianapolis and New Orleans have a big advantage when it comes to scoring points, while it’s doubtful that a cold-weather team like Chicago or Green Bay would air it out completely when it’s snowing, or even frigid. Then they tend to focus on running the ball and avoiding mistakes, which will keep the scores down (unless the run defenses are terrible).

Injuries

Looking at a matchup with injuries? Take Arizona, for example. This week they face Jacksonville, with only one of their top three receivers healthy. They have backups, of course, but unless Jerheme Urban and Lance Long turn into Anquan Boldin and Steve Breaston, that offense simply isn’t going to be effective. It works the same on defense. If a team’s secondary is banged up, look for the opposition for go deep more often, which leads to more points.